Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.173366 0.198527 0.226953 0.261623 0.303005 0.351111 0.411695
2025-07-20 0.136749 0.170135 0.211965 0.269018 0.346057 0.448320 0.597534
2025-07-27 0.114375 0.151141 0.200873 0.274777 0.384885 0.548097 0.818943
2025-08-03 0.099916 0.138458 0.193879 0.282256 0.425375 0.659119 1.095659
2025-08-10 0.088174 0.126937 0.185519 0.284576 0.456827 0.763228 1.400922
2025-08-17 0.078820 0.117172 0.177635 0.285204 0.484445 0.867540 1.750878
2025-08-24 0.070911 0.108342 0.169536 0.283360 0.506412 0.966975 2.137292
2025-08-31 0.064015 0.100138 0.161085 0.278972 0.521949 1.057523 2.549623
2025-09-07 0.059936 0.096052 0.159006 0.285873 0.561836 1.215081 3.234361
2025-09-14 0.054776 0.089453 0.151464 0.280574 0.573912 1.310413 3.798337
2025-09-21 0.051286 0.085395 0.148024 0.282952 0.604028 1.463379 4.669920
2025-09-28 0.047615 0.080598 0.142542 0.279988 0.620578 1.585725 5.533450
2025-10-05 0.045180 0.077905 0.140958 0.285666 0.661535 1.801299 7.020109
2025-10-12 0.043034 0.075547 0.139768 0.292130 0.706949 2.055039 9.015224
2025-10-19 0.041037 0.073263 0.138431 0.298023 0.752829 2.336121 11.592628
2025-10-26 0.039404 0.071528 0.138026 0.306154 0.808159 2.686051 15.261712
2025-11-02 0.037480 0.069009 0.135598 0.308682 0.847140 2.996151 19.350195
2025-11-09 0.035598 0.066401 0.132663 0.309367 0.880662 3.306648 24.286224
2025-11-16 0.033702 0.063593 0.128957 0.307327 0.904591 3.591272 29.888463
2025-11-23 0.031795 0.060601 0.124506 0.302481 0.917378 3.832217 35.912143
2025-11-30 0.030798 0.059491 0.124378 0.310103 0.979721 4.393822 48.971292
2025-12-07 0.029108 0.056720 0.119952 0.304250 0.987956 4.651729 58.722908
2025-12-14 0.028007 0.055176 0.118383 0.306876 1.032126 5.178869 77.522798